G10 Currency Pairs
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| Pair | Spot | Chg | % Chg | Prev Close | Spread* |
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EM Currency Pairs
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Commodities & CryptoLIVE
Gold XAU/USD
Solana SOL/USD
Bitcoin BTC/USD
Ethereum ETH/USD
Economic CalendarTODAY & AHEAD
Bloomberg TV Live
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Market NewsBBC Business
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FX AnalysisLoading…
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FX Charts
Historical end-of-day spot rates — Frankfurter / ECB
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Current
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Period High
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Period Low
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Period Change
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Historical rates sourced from Frankfurter API (ECB reference rates). End-of-day close prices. For research and educational purposes only.
FX Futures COT Positioning
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| Pair | Speculative Net | Institutional Net | Spec Bias |
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Net positions in thousands of contracts. Speculative = Leveraged Money (hedge funds / CTAs). Institutional = Asset Managers (pension funds, long-only). Source: CFTC Traders in Financial Futures (TFF) report, published weekly. Positive = net long base currency vs USD. Sign inverted for USD-base pairs (USD/JPY, USD/CHF, USD/CAD) to reflect pair direction.
Research Articles
VoxEU · FRED Blog · IMF · PIIE
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Research sourced from VoxEU (CEPR), FRED Blog (St. Louis Fed), IMF Blog, and PIIE. All rights remain with respective publishers.
OUROBOROS · AI driven Market Research
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MARKET SENTIMENT
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Retrieving latest note…
AI-generated macro research · Thames River Trading · For educational purposes only · Not financial advice
Technical Signals
HIGH conviction only · All 3 must agree: MA crossover (0.3% sep) · RSI >60/<40 · Momentum >0.5% · For research & educational purposes only · not financial advice
★★★ High= All 3 indicators agree
★★☆ Medium= 2 of 3 indicators agree
Live Signals
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All signals are generated algorithmically from historical price data (MA crossover, RSI, momentum). For research and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Trader WireLoading…
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Country Risk Profiles
GDP · CPI · Current Account via World Bank · Policy rates sourced from BIS, CPI sourced from the World Bank.
FX Options Pricer
Garman–Kohlhagen · Barrier (Rubinstein–Reiner 1991) · Vol Analysis
ParametersGarman–Kohlhagen (1983)
Premium (%)
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Delta Δ
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Gamma Γ
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Theta Θ/day
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Vega ν /1%
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Rho ρ /1%
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Spot: Frankfurter (ECB) · Rates: BIS · Vol: 30-day realised (annualised). Educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Portfolio Stress Tester
Historical scenario analysis · FX exposures · USD mn notional
Positions (USD mn, + = long pair)
Scenario P&LUSD mn
Enter positions above and run the stress test to see scenario P&L across 5 historical shock events.
Carry Trade Calculator
Rate differential · Break-even · Carry/Vol ratio · Rates from BIS
ParametersRates from FRED
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Carry (USD)
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Break-Even Move
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Carry/Vol
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Rates: BIS. Vol: 30-day realised from ECB daily closes. Carry/Vol = annualised carry ÷ annualised vol — approximates risk-adjusted carry. Not financial advice.
All Pairs Carry RankingLong base direction · Annualised
| Pair | Base Rate | Quote Rate | Net Carry | Carry/Vol | Outlook |
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Carry/Vol ratio uses 30-day realised volatility from ECB/Frankfurter. Positive = long base earns carry. Higher ratio = better risk-adjusted carry.
Correlation Matrix
30-day rolling Pearson correlation · ECB/Frankfurter daily closes
FX Pair Correlations
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Pearson correlation of daily log returns. +1.0 = perfect positive, −1.0 = perfect inverse, 0 = no linear relationship. Sourced from ECB/Frankfurter reference rates.
Highest CorrelationsTop 5 positive
Inverse RelationshipsTop 5 negative
Macro Pulse
Macro Regime Classifier · GDP · CPI · Yield Curve · FRED
Macro Regime Classifier
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Stagflation
Growth ↓ · Inflation ↑
Gold · Defensives
Short duration · Cash
Short duration · Cash
Overheating
Growth ↑ · Inflation ↑
Commodities · Financials
TIPS · Value stocks
TIPS · Value stocks
Deflation
Growth ↓ · Inflation ↓
Govt bonds · USD
Utilities · Staples
Utilities · Staples
Goldilocks
Growth ↑ · Inflation ↓
Equities · Credit
EM assets · Growth
EM assets · Growth
← GROWTH DECELERATINGGROWTH ACCELERATING →
Current Regime
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CPI YoY
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2s10s Spread
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Growth axis: real GDP QoQ annualised (FRED GDPC1) + yield curve (10Y–2Y). Inflation axis: 10Y breakeven (T10YIE) + CPI momentum. Source: FRED. Updated weekly.
Non-Farm Payrolls
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jobs added
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Unemployment
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12-Month History (thousands)
Source: FRED PAYEMS (Bureau of Labor Statistics). Monthly change in total nonfarm payrolls. Green ≥ 150K (healthy), amber 0–150K (slowing), red = job losses. Unemployment: FRED UNRATE. Updated monthly.
Fear & Greed Index
CNN Fear & Greed Index · Updated daily · Source: CNN Business
Current Reading—
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Score / 100
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EXTREME FEARFEARNEUTRALGREEDEXTREME GREED
Historical ComparisonHow sentiment has shifted
Source: CNN Business Fear & Greed Index. 7 indicators: stock momentum, price strength, breadth, put/call ratio, junk bond demand, market volatility, safe haven demand. Not financial advice.
ScaleReading interpretation
| Range | Label | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| 0 – 24 | Extreme Fear | Market in panic — historically a contrarian buy signal |
| 25 – 44 | Fear | Risk-off positioning dominant — defensives preferred |
| 45 – 55 | Neutral | Mixed signals — no clear directional bias |
| 56 – 75 | Greed | Risk-on momentum — cyclicals and EM outperforming |
| 76 – 100 | Extreme Greed | Euphoric positioning — elevated reversal risk |
Central Bank Dashboard
Policy rates · CPI · Real rates · Last move · 2026 meeting schedule
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| Central Bank | Rate Type | Policy Rate | CPI YoY | Real Rate | CPI Trend | Last Move | Move Date |
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Policy rates sourced from BIS, CPI sourced from the World Bank. Real rate = Policy rate − CPI YoY. Not financial advice.
2026 Meeting CalendarRemaining scheduled decisions
| Central Bank | Rate Type | Date | Days Away | Current Rate | Consensus | Previous |
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Meeting dates sourced from official central bank calendars. Policy rates sourced from BIS, CPI sourced from the World Bank. Not financial advice.
Watchlist
Real-time quotes · Yahoo Finance · Prices delayed 15 min
Add Instrument
Enter ticker symbol — stocks (AAPL), indices (^GSPC), FX (EURUSD=X), ETFs (GLD)
Holdings
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| Ticker | Name | Price | Chg | Chg % | 52W High | 52W Low | Volume | |
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Prices delayed up to 15 minutes · Yahoo Finance · Not financial advice